August 18, 2007
There is a consensus on global warming -- er, never mind
Joel Schwartz posted the latest findings on global warming over at National Review's Planet Gore; they're sure to increase the temperature in the fever-dream fantasies of the Goreacle and his acolytes.
New research from Stephen Schwartz of Brookhaven National Lab concludes that the Earth’s climate is only about one-third as sensitive to carbon dioxide as the IPCC assumes. Schwartz’s study is “in press” at the Journal of Geophysical Research and you can download a preprint of the study here.
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Based on Schwartz’s results, we should expect about a 0.6 degrees Celcius additional increase in temperature between now and 2070 due to this additional CO2. That doesn’t seem particularly alarming.
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Schwartz is careful to include the appropriate caveats to his results. But he also shows that his estimates are consistent with much of the previous literature on the subject. His study also has the virtue of relying largely on empirical measurements of actual climate behavior during the 20th Century, rather than on climate models.
Stephen Schwartz is a pretty mainstream climate scientist. Yet along with dozens of other studies in the scientific literature, his new study belies Al Gore’s claim that there is no legitimate scholarly alternative to climate catastrophism.
Indeed, if Schwartz’s results are correct, that alone would be enough to overturn in one fell swoop the IPCC’s scientific “consensus”, the environmentalists’ climate hysteria, and the political pretext for the energy-restriction policies that have become so popular with the world’s environmental regulators, elected officials, and corporations. The question is, will anyone in the mainstream media notice?
I'm not holding my breath, waiting for the dinosaur media to run with stories like this; they're too heavily vested in the Goreacle's apocalyptic vision of neocon, Halliburton-based global warming destroying the planet.
At some point, 'though, the growing consensus that there is no consensus on global warming will force its proponents to retreat, issuing carefully worded statements that shift the focus to some new, Americans-suck global crisis.
Posted by Mike Lief at August 18, 2007 04:17 PM
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Other than tree huggers and rednecks, who cares about global warming anyway? Even if its real, the world will be a safer place without polar bears. When I go on vacation, I want to be warm and get a nice tan.
Posted by: Jen at August 19, 2007 09:26 AM
Here is a small sample of the side of the debate we almost never hear:
Appearing before the Commons Committee on Environment and Sustainable Development last year, Carleton University paleoclimatologist Professor Tim Patterson testified, "There is no meaningful correlation between CO2 levels and Earth's temperature over this [geologic] time frame. In fact, when CO2 levels were over ten times higher than they are now, about 450 million years ago, the planet was in the depths of the absolute coldest period in the last half billion years."
Patterson asked the committee, "On the basis of this evidence, how could anyone still believe that the recent relatively small increase in CO2 levels would be the major cause of the past century's modest warming?"
Carlos Menéndez
http://www.creditomagazine.es
Posted by: creditos at August 19, 2007 12:47 PM