September 08, 2008
What a difference a convention makes
Real Clear Politics collected the latest polling in the aftermath of the GOP convention (and Sarah Palin's blow-the-roof-off speech), and the McCain-Palin ticket has bounced to an outside-the-margin-of-error lead over Obama.
The size of that lead varies, depending on who did the polling, but USA Today reports the biggest gains: 10 percent!
The Republicans managed to draw blood, Palin's debut simultaneously boosting McCain's numbers (along with her own), while also effectively pointing out deficiencies in Obama's resume to disappointed Hillary supporters and other fence sitters.
A look at RCP's electoral map shows the Dems still in the lead overall, but with a number of states back in play for the GOP.
Click on image for larger version.
While ten points is an outlier, the momentum seems to be shifting away from the Obamessiah, much to the consternation of his media acolytes. If, as I suspect, Palin eats Biden's lunch at the upcoming debate, that gap may no longer be atypically large -- and may very well grow even bigger.
Posted by Mike Lief at September 8, 2008 07:11 AM
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Comments
Remember the Bradley effect. It may not apply in California much anymore, but I am not so sure about other parts of the country.
RCP shows "Toss up" for a lot of states, but many of them are less than 5 points apart, and O probably needs at least that much (if not 8) to feel safe.
Posted by: andrewdb at September 8, 2008 09:16 AM
I never thought I'd say this, but even Fox News has called McCain out for the whore he's become. Maverick? Nope. He's making shit up, just like the rest of the Repubs. Is it possible that the "borrow and spend" party may finally be losing to the "tax and spend" party on taxation issues?
http://bourbonroom.blogs.foxnews.com/2008/08/31/does-john-mccain-have-a-tax-problem-answer-probably/
Posted by: Bull Butz at September 8, 2008 04:22 PM
McCain enjoyed a huge jump in numbers due to Palin joining the ticket. That's pretty typical. Remember what happened with Ferraro? Numbers jumped and then.........whoa...... who is Geraldine Ferraro? A woman always will pull the vote (we are over 50% of the pop), the question is whether she can sustain it...or if he can. The bigger question might be why a presidential candidate needs to put a woman on the ticket to win. Can't the bloke do it on his own? You know she was his last choice and only did it to take the Hilary vote. It's feminism gone bad. It makes him far weaker in my eyes. Geez, give it up on hammering Obama. Let's talk issues.
Posted by: Dawn at September 14, 2008 05:40 PM